The 21st century conundrum: Inevitable rise, or peak China?

29.11.2021 | The 21st century conundrum: Inevitable rise, or peak China?

Alaco is hosting a webinar on Wednesday 15th December, 14:00 (GMT), in conjunction with Menas Associates, to discuss China and its future relationship with the rest of the world.

Xi Jinping has made it clear that the ‘Party leads everything’. This makes it essential to understand the Chinese Communist Party’s role and rule if we are to calibrate our responses appropriately.

We are set for a more adversarial relationship with China: differences in systems, values, and national security considerations will define our future. Therefore maximizing good relations with China remains as important as ever but achieving that will be more difficult. Clear-sighted analysis of where the CCP is taking China is paramount.

The briefing will analyse:

Politics:

What is Xi Jinping's 'new era'?
How popular is Xi and the Party, and how does the CCP legitimise itself?
How stable are Chinese politics: will Xi be in charge for life?
Is divergence/decoupling inevitable; desired, even?

Economics:

Peak property, a metaphor for the economy
The New Development concept
Industrial policy, the private sector, regulation, dual circulation, common prosperity
Debt, demographics, productivity and the middle income trap

Our Speakers

Charles Parton is a former UK diplomat who spent 22 years working in or on China, Hong Kong and Taiwan, both with the UK and the EU. He focuses in particular on the internal dynamics of Communist Party rule and on UK-China relations. He is a senior associate fellow of RUSI, an associate fellow of the Council on Geostrategy, and was a Specialist Adviser on China to the House of Commons Foreign Affairs Committee for its 2018-2019 China Inquires.

George Magnus is an Associate at Oxford University's China Centre and at SOAS, and a frequent visitor to China since 1993. He was Chief Economist and later Senior Economic Adviser at UBS from 1995 to 2016, and has held senior positions at SG Waburg, Chase Securities and Bank of America.

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